Energy traders and portfolio managers struggle to predict oil price volatility amid geopolitical tensions

Energy traders, financial analysts, and portfolio managers in the Middle East and globally face critical uncertainty when geopolitical tensions cause oil prices to spike unpredictably (e.g., oil hitting $100 despite rising inventories). Current forecasting models fail to account for sudden geopolitical shocks, leading to massive trading losses, hedging failures, and inability to make confident investment decisions. The disconnect between traditional supply-demand indicators and actual price movements creates dangerous blind spots.